CD Manchego vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAN
61%
24%
15%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
MAN
4 - 0
CDS
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
ZAR
3 - 2
MAN
63%
25%
13%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
MAN
4 - 1
VAL
69%
21%
10%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
SFN
2 - 1
ARG
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SDA
3 - 1
SFN
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 0
SFN
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SFN
1 - 1
CDS
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
ZAR
0 - 0
SFN
85%
11%
4%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |