CD Manchego vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
4 - 2
VIL
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
DBN
4 - 2
MAN
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDB
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
GDE
2 - 0
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ALC
1 - 2
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALC
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ALC
4 - 2
DBN
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
CDB
5 - 4
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
GDE
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |