CD Manchego vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
ALB
10 - 0
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
TOM
4 - 0
MAN
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
MAN
2 - 3
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
IMP
5 - 2
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
MAN
0 - 2
MED
59%
19%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
FER
4 - 2
TOM
57%
19%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
CDT
2 - 0
FER
59%
19%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
FER
2 - 1
IMP
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
MED
1 - 2
FER
58%
19%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
FER
3 - 1
UBC
74%
15%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |