CD Manchego vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
MAN
0 - 0
CDB
64%
23%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
MAN
0 - 0
ZAM
54%
27%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ALB
2 - 1
MAN
54%
29%
16%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ALC
3 - 0
ACF
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
SAL
0 - 1
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ALC
0 - 1
LPA
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TAL
1 - 0
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 1
ALC
49%
22%
28%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |