Mancha Real B vs Castillo de Locubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mancha Real B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 1
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 3
CDA
24%
19%
56%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VDJ
1 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
ATL
11%
17%
71%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo de Locubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 2
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
CDA
57%
19%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 2
VIL
16%
18%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
CDA
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
JOD
46%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |