Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
19%
21%
60%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 0
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 1
TEA
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 5
WAI
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 1
CAN
64%
20%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |