Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 4
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
AUC
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAI
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MAG
1 - 1
WAI
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |