Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 0
MAN
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 3
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 4
TEA
47%
23%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
78%
14%
8%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
AUC
4 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 0
AUC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
59%
20%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |