Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
OTA
0 - 0
MAN
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 3
HAW
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 8
TEA
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
AUC
4 - 1
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
AUC
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 9
WAI
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
80%
13%
7%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
TEA
1 - 5
WAI
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |