Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAW
1 - 1
MAN
15%
22%
64%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
4 - 1
OTA
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
AUC
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
TEA
1 - 2
MAN
41%
24%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
NOK
2 - 2
MAN
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
WAI
0 - 0
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
TEA
1 - 1
WAI
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
WAI
2 - 1
CAN
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
WAI
1 - 3
WAI
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
WAI
1 - 2
AUC
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |