Manawatu vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
0 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 5
NAP
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
MTW
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
MIR
4 - 1
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 4
MIR
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
TCU
3 - 0
WAI
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
WAI
3 - 2
MIR
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
NSH
2 - 0
WAI
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
WAI
1 - 2
CEN
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
MET
1 - 2
WAI
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |