Manawatu vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
WAI
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
4 - 2
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 5
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 4
TEA
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 2
HAW
38%
26%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 3
OTA
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |