Manawatu vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 2
OTA
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 4
WAI
30%
24%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 0
MAN
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
WAI
1 - 3
WAI
24%
24%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 2
WAI
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
OTA
0 - 1
WAI
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |