Manawatu vs WaiBOP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 1
WAI
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
MAN
2 - 1
TEA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
HAW
1 - 4
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 2
AUC
31%
25%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WAI
0 - 4
SOU
59%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
WAI
7 - 1
WAI
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TEA
4 - 2
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
AUC
4 - 0
WAI
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |