Manawatu vs WaiBOP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
4 - 1
NAP
44%
23%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
TEA
1 - 2
MAN
51%
23%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 2
WAI
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TEA
0 - 0
WAI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
WAI
0 - 2
SOU
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
WAI
1 - 2
CAN
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WAI
0 - 2
NAP
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |