Manawatu vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 6
AUC
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OTA
2 - 2
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
HAW
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
2 - 3
TEA
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |