Manawatu vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 3
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAW
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 4
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TEA
2 - 1
WAI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 2
TEA
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 2
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |