Manawatu vs Team Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
AUC
4 - 1
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
WAI
3 - 1
MAN
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
MAN
6 - 0
OTA
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
HAW
0 - 0
MAN
16%
22%
63%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Team Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
TEA
1 - 5
WAI
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TEA
1 - 1
AUC
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CAN
0 - 1
TEA
47%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
TEA
4 - 3
HAW
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
WAI
1 - 2
TEA
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |