Manawatu vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
4 - 0
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TEA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 5
WAI
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 6
WAI
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TEA
0 - 1
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 1
OTA
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 1
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |