Manawatu vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
TCU
5 - 0
MAN
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAN
6 - 0
CEN
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NSH
5 - 1
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MIR
5 - 1
CAN
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
MIR
4 - 1
NSH
68%
18%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MIR
5 - 0
MTW
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
MIR
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
TCU
3 - 2
MIR
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |