Manawatu vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
2 - 2
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
WAI
1 - 4
MAN
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
5 - 2
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 3
TCU
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
NSH
4 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
MIR
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
3 - 5
MIR
37%
24%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
MIR
2 - 0
WAI
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
NSH
1 - 1
MIR
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MIR
4 - 1
NAP
55%
22%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |