Manawatu vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MAN
6 - 2
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
CEN
3 - 5
MAN
58%
22%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 1
MAN
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CHR
1 - 2
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
MET
1 - 2
MIR
15%
21%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
6 - 3
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
MIR
2 - 2
WAI
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
CHR
1 - 4
MIR
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
TCU
0 - 2
MIR
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |