Manawatu vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
MAN
2 - 1
CEN
54%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MAN
2 - 1
NAP
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
3 - 1
MAN
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
WAI
2 - 1
MAN
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
MET
0 - 4
MIR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 3
MTW
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CEN
3 - 1
MIR
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 1
NAP
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
MIR
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |