Manawatu vs East Auckland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
TCU
2 - 2
MAN
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
2 - 2
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
NSH
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
East Auckland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
EAU
1 - 0
NAP
37%
23%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 2
EAU
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
1 - 2
MIR
35%
24%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
TCU
1 - 2
EAU
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
3 - 2
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |