Manawatu vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
NSH
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
4 - 1
MIR
32%
24%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CAN
4 - 1
CAV
60%
22%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
3 - 2
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
CAN
2 - 0
TCU
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
MIR
5 - 1
CAN
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |