Manawatu vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
WAI
1 - 0
MAN
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAN
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 1
WAI
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
4 - 2
AUC
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
TEA
1 - 4
AUC
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 1
AUC
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |