Manaus vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2020 |
FAS
0 - 3
MAN
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 3
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 1
MAN
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
ANA
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
17%
22%
62%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
PPE
0 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIL
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |