Manaus vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
MAN
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
PFC
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 3
MAN
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 1
MEC
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAN
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UAC
0 - 0
TOC
17%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
TOC
2 - 1
MEC
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GUR
0 - 0
TOC
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
13%
18%
70%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 0
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |