Copa Verde 1/16
Global 3-5
Manaus vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
JAC
1 - 1
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SOB
4 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -3 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAX
23%
28%
49%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +4 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SOB
4 - 1
MAN
30%
27%
44%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 2
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
SOB
61%
24%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SOB
54%
25%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |