Manaus vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAN
33%
25%
43%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
REM
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +4 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 3
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAN
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CEA
1 - 0
CSA
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
CSA
4 - 0
MUR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
CSA
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |