Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Manaus vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
48.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
REC
1 - 0
MAN
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 1
RDA
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 2
MAN
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
CIA
1 - 2
CAX
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 0
CIA
55%
25%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
ECA
0 - 0
CAX
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
CAX
0 - 0
ECA
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |