Manaus vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
REM
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
MAN
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 2
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
PRI
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 2
MAN
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
APA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
YPI
0 - 2
APA
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
25%
28%
47%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
APA
2 - 0
GIO
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
APA
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |