Apertura Nicaragua Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Managua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 5
MAN
43%
26%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
MFC
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
CDS
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
6 - 0
MFC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
UNA
1 - 4
EST
16%
24%
61%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
DIR
0 - 0
EST
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |