Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
4º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 2
MAN
15%
26%
59%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
ORM
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MAN
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 2
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
6 - 2
UNA
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WAL
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 2
DEP
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 15 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |