Managua vs Walter Ferretti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
EST
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 2
MAN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIR
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DIR
1 - 0
WAL
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
DIR
0 - 2
WAL
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |