Mamer vs Koeppchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ERP
3 - 1
MAM
63%
21%
17%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAM
3 - 0
YBD
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 2
KAE
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
MAM
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OBE
2 - 2
MAM
68%
19%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Koeppchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
KOE
2 - 2
VIC
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
KOE
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
KOE
0 - 3
JEU
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CSM
6 - 1
KOE
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KOE
0 - 1
FFN
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |