Mamelodi Sundowns vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 2
SUN
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SUN
4 - 0
POL
69%
19%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
1 - 2
SUN
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 5
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SUN
2 - 0
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
6 - 0
RCK
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
72%
19%
10%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
1 - 2
SUN
43%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
36%
30%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
TPM
10%
18%
72%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | -1 |