Mamelodi Sundowns vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
SUN
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SUN
6 - 0
PIR
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
BLO
0 - 1
SUN
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
SUN
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
JEO
4 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 0
SIM
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
TPM
1 - 0
OPA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
DIB
0 - 4
TPM
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
NSG
0 - 6
TPM
40%
31%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |