Mamelodi Sundowns vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
SUN
5 - 0
POL
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 2
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BID
1 - 0
SUN
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 0
MIC
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 33 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TPM
2 - 0
DBL
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
TPM
47%
31%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
TPM
3 - 1
LUB
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
GBA
0 - 1
TPM
51%
29%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
TPM
3 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |