Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIR
0 - 1
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
2 - 0
SUF
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
TSG
1 - 2
SUN
23%
28%
50%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
SSU
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 0
RIB
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 1
AMA
35%
31%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SSU
1 - 1
RIB
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 2
RIB
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 2
SUN
22%
27%
50%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |