Mamelodi Sundowns vs Berger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
RIA
0 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
SUN
2 - 0
BID
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 0
TPM
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 1
FRE
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Berger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BER
1 - 0
TPM
45%
25%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
ESP
3 - 2
BER
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
BER
1 - 1
ESP
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
BER
2 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
TPM
1 - 0
BER
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |