Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
5 - 0
SUD
86%
10%
3%
|
76 | 16 | 60 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 4
SUN
27%
29%
44%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 0
ALM
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ALH
2 - 4
SUN
12%
21%
68%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 2
SFC
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
GOL
3 - 2
SSU
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
GOL
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 2
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GOL
32%
28%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |