Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 0
SSU
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
POL
0 - 2
SUN
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 2
MPU
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
GOL
47%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
GOL
0 - 1
PLS
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GOL
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 1
GOL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |