Mamelodi Sundowns vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SUN
3 - 4
BVB
3%
9%
88%
|
74 | 99 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
ULS
0 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ASY
2 - 1
SUN
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASY
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAG
47%
29%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
FLU
4 - 2
ULS
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FLU
0 - 0
BVB
5%
11%
84%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
SCI
0 - 2
FLU
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
ONC
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
43%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |