CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 0
SUF
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PIR
2 - 1
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
AMA
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
GOL
1 - 1
SUN
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
JSO
2 - 2
ESP
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEN
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 2
ESP
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 0
ETO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CAB
2 - 1
ESP
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |