Mamelodi Sundowns vs Bloemfontein Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHI
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 0
SSU
53%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 0
WYD
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PET
2 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SSU
1 - 2
SUN
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 0
BLO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BLO
4 - 1
AMA
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BLO
1 - 1
CHI
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
BID
3 - 2
BLO
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BLO
4 - 2
BLA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |