Mamelodi Sundowns vs Bloemfontein Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PIR
0 - 0
SUN
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 3
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BID
2 - 3
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 1
PIR
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SUN
4 - 0
SWA
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bloemfontein Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BLO
0 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
BLO
35%
30%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
PLS
2 - 1
BLO
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
BLO
2 - 0
BLA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |