Mamelodi Sundowns vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
23
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SUN
0 - 0
ASY
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
SUN
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TPM
1 - 0
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
SSU
0 - 2
SUN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 0
NOU
91%
8%
1%
|
77 | 33 | 44 | -2 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 3
SFC
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 2
RKF
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 0
AJA
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 2
AJA
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
PIR
21%
27%
52%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |