Malvern Town vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
8º
17º
11º
42
3º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvern Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 1
BEM
18%
18%
64%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 3
FRO
20%
18%
61%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 0
MAL
56%
19%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EXM
1 - 3
MAL
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 1
MAL
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 1
BAS
37%
21%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
FRO
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EVE
2 - 0
BAS
26%
22%
53%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |