Malpartida vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CAS
4 - 0
MAL
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 0
TAL
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAL
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GIM
3 - 0
MAL
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
5 - 0
MOR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ORE
0 - 1
GIM
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MOR
3 - 1
ORE
27%
23%
51%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
5 - 1
SAM
25%
25%
50%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
TRU
3 - 0
ORE
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ORE
2 - 2
ZUR
71%
18%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |